30 Sept · 16:45 MESZ · 🏸 Dutch Open Women QualLow · Coin Flip
LP
🇧🇪Lieke Van Parys
ELO 1485
FormLLWLW
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Safaei
NS
🇳🇱Nasim Safaei
ELO 1485
FormLWLWW
50%
50%
Fair odds · Safaei
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 38% · 2.67· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Game score (games)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~85 pts
0-2
37%
2-0
35%
2-1
15%
1-2
14%
Elo Gap+0
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.