30 Sept · 13:45 MESZ · 🏸 Dutch Open Women QualMedium · Model Lean
CM
🇳🇱Chloe Mayer
ELO 1497
FormLLWWL
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Mayer
JS
🇱🇹Jorune Salnaite
ELO 1471
FormLLWL
57%
43%
Fair odds · Mayer
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 63% · 1.60· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Game score (games)Fav −1.5 42%Total ~85 pts
2-0
42%
0-2
30%
2-1
15%
1-2
13%
Elo Gap+26
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.