30 Sept · 13:00 MESZ · 🏸 Dutch Open QualMedium · Model Lean
DK
🇳🇱Dennis Koppen
ELO 1483
FormLL
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Koppen
AK
🇮🇳Akash Kumar
ELO 1452
FormLLLLL
59%
41%
Fair odds · Koppen
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 92% · 1.09· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Game score (games)Fav −1.5 43%Total ~85 pts
2-0
43%
0-2
29%
2-1
16%
1-2
12%
Elo Gap+31
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.