1 Oct · 09:00 MESZ · 🏸 Dutch OpenLow · Coin Flip
JO
🇫🇮Joakim Oldorff
ELO 1542
FormWWWWW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Oldorff
CK
🇬🇧Cholan Kayan
ELO 1540
FormLLWWW
51%
49%
Fair odds · Oldorff
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 79% · 1.26· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Game score (games)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~85 pts
2-0
37%
0-2
34%
1-2
15%
2-1
14%
Elo Gap+2
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.