1 Oct · 09:00 MESZ · 🏸 Dutch OpenMedium · Model Lean
JK
🇲🇾Jing Hong Kok
ELO 1513
FormLLWLL
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Huang
HH
🇬🇧Harry Huang
ELO 1539
FormLLWLW
43%
57%
Fair odds · Huang
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Game score (games)Fav −1.5 42%Total ~85 pts
0-2
42%
2-0
30%
1-2
16%
2-1
13%
Elo Gap+26
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.