1 Oct · 09:00 MESZ · 🏸 Dutch Open WomenMedium · Model Lean
AR
🇩🇰Anna Siess Ryberg
ELO 1535
FormLWWLL
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Ryberg
WZ
🇨🇦Wen Yu Zhang
ELO 1512
FormLWWWW
56%
44%
Fair odds · Ryberg
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 28% · 3.62· vig 6%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Game score (games)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~85 pts
2-0
41%
0-2
30%
2-1
15%
1-2
13%
Elo Gap+23
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.