2 Oct · 15:40 MESZ · 🏸 Dutch OpenMedium · Model Lean
VK
🇩🇰Victor Ording Kauffmann
ELO 1588
FormWLWWW
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Kauffmann
HH
🇬🇧Harry Huang
ELO 1556
FormWWLLW
59%
41%
Fair odds · Kauffmann
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 25% · 4.00· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Game score (games)Fav −1.5 43%Total ~85 pts
2-0
43%
0-2
29%
2-1
16%
1-2
12%
Elo Gap+32
H2H0-1
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.