2 Oct · 10:15 MESZ · 🏸 Bulgarian Int QualLow · Coin Flip
TK
🇪🇪Tauri Kilk
ELO 1515
FormLLWLW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Kilk
MD
🇵🇱Maksymilian Danielak
ELO 1512
FormLLLWW
51%
49%
Fair odds · Kilk
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 40% · 2.52· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Game score (games)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~85 pts
2-0
37%
0-2
34%
1-2
15%
2-1
14%
Elo Gap+3
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.