2 Oct · 12:45 MESZ · 🏸 Bulgarian Int QualMedium · Model Lean
ML
🇩🇰Mikkel Langemark
ELO 1567
FormLLW
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Langemark
HD
🇮🇳Harsheel Dani
ELO 1536
FormLWWW
59%
41%
Fair odds · Langemark
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 59% · 1.68· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Game score (games)Fav −1.5 43%Total ~85 pts
2-0
43%
0-2
29%
2-1
16%
1-2
12%
Elo Gap+31
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.