7 Oct · 08:00 MESZ · 🏸 Arctic OpenHigh · Clear Favorite
TC
🇹🇼Tien Chen Chou
ELO 1675
FormLLLWW
61%Win chancemodel fair 1.64Chou
AM
🇫🇷Arnaud Merkle
ELO 1637
FormLWWWL
61%
39%
Fair odds · Chou
Model 61% · 1.64vsMarket 84% · 1.19· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Game score (games)Fav −1.5 46%Total ~85 pts
2-0
46%
0-2
25%
2-1
15%
1-2
14%
Elo Gap+38
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.