7 Oct · 08:00 MESZ · 🏸 Arctic OpenLow · Coin Flip
SY
🇹🇼Su Li Yang
ELO 1595
FormWWWWW
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Lin
CL
🇹🇼Chun-Yi Lin
ELO 1595
FormLWLLW
50%
50%
Fair odds · Lin
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 16% · 6.40· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Game score (games)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~85 pts
0-2
37%
2-0
35%
2-1
15%
1-2
14%
Elo Gap+0
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.