7 Oct · 08:00 MESZ · 🏸 Arctic Open WomenHigh · Clear Favorite
HL
🇹🇼Hsiang Ti Lin
ELO 1547
FormWLLWL
60%Win chancemodel fair 1.67Gunji
RG
🇯🇵Riko Gunji
ELO 1582
FormLLLLW
40%
60%
⚡ Cover lean · Gunji
Fair odds · Gunji
Model 60% · 1.67vsMarket 75% · 1.33· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Game score (games)Fav −1.5 45%Total ~85 pts
0-2
45%
2-0
25%
1-2
15%
2-1
14%
Elo Gap+35
H2H1-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.