7 Oct · 08:00 MESZ · 🏸 Arctic Open WomenMedium · Model Lean
HA
🇯🇵Hina Akechi
ELO 1618
FormLLWWL
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Akechi
AS
🇩🇰Amalie Schulz
ELO 1597
FormLWWWW
56%
44%
Fair odds · Akechi
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 83% · 1.20· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Game score (games)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~85 pts
2-0
41%
0-2
31%
2-1
15%
1-2
13%
Elo Gap+21
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.