6 Oct · 16:40 MESZ · 🏸 Arctic Open WomenLow · Coin Flip
PC
🇹🇭Pornpawee Chochuwong
ELO 1667
FormLLLWW
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Chochuwong
YL
🇩🇪Yvonne Li
ELO 1666
FormWWWWW
50%
50%
Fair odds · Chochuwong
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 87% · 1.15· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Game score (games)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~85 pts
2-0
37%
0-2
35%
1-2
15%
2-1
14%
Elo Gap+1
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.