9 Oct · 08:00 MESZ · 🏸 Turkiye Int. WomenLow · Coin Flip
MG
🇷🇺Mariia Golubeva
ELO 1519
FormWW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Ryberg
AR
🇩🇰Anna Siess Ryberg
ELO 1524
FormLLWWL
49%
51%
Fair odds · Ryberg
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 84% · 1.19· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Game score (games)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~85 pts
0-2
38%
2-0
34%
2-1
15%
1-2
14%
Elo Gap+5
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.