9 Oct · 08:00 MESZ · 🏸 Turkiye Int. WomenLow · Slight Edge
RB
🇹🇷Ravza Bodurt
ELO 1516
FormWWLLW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Bodurt
SN
🇮🇪Sophia Noble
ELO 1506
FormWWWWW
53%
47%
Fair odds · Bodurt
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 38% · 2.67· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Game score (games)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~85 pts
2-0
39%
0-2
33%
1-2
14%
2-1
14%
Elo Gap+10
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.