9 Oct · 15:00 MESZ · 🏸 Turkiye Int.Medium · Model Lean
CK
🇬🇧Cholan Kayan
ELO 1544
FormWLWLL
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Kayan
SL
🇫🇷Sacha Leveque
ELO 1518
FormWLWLL
58%
42%
Fair odds · Kayan
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Game score (games)Fav −1.5 42%Total ~85 pts
2-0
42%
0-2
30%
2-1
16%
1-2
13%
Elo Gap+26
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.