9 Oct · 17:00 MESZ · 🏸 Turkiye Int.Low · Slight Edge
MC
🇩🇰Mads Christophersen
ELO 1552
FormWLWLL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Dinata
AD
🇭🇷Aria Dinata
ELO 1566
FormWLWLW
46%
54%
Fair odds · Dinata
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 38% · 2.67· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Game score (games)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~85 pts
0-2
39%
2-0
32%
1-2
15%
2-1
14%
Elo Gap+14
H2H1-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.