10 Oct · 10:00 MESZ · 🏸 Turkiye Int. WomenMedium · Model Lean
PM
🇨🇿Petra Maixnerova
ELO 1561
FormWWLWL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Maixnerova
AK
🇮🇳Aakarshi Kashyap
ELO 1542
FormWWLWW
55%
45%
Fair odds · Maixnerova
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 28% · 3.62· vig 6%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Game score (games)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~85 pts
2-0
40%
0-2
31%
2-1
15%
1-2
14%
Elo Gap+19
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.