11 Oct · 10:00 MESZ · 🏸 Turkiye Int.Low · Slight Edge
VK
🇩🇰Victor Ording Kauffmann
ELO 1610
FormWWWWL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Bogebjerg
WB
🇩🇰William Bogebjerg
ELO 1618
FormWWWWL
48%
52%
Fair odds · Bogebjerg
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 63% · 1.60· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Game score (games)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~85 pts
0-2
38%
2-0
33%
2-1
14%
1-2
14%
Elo Gap+8
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.