14 Oct · 02:00 MESZ · 🏸 Malaysia Super 100Low · Coin Flip
CA
🇮🇩Christian Adinata
ELO 1519
FormLLWL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Adinata
HC
🇰🇷Hyeon Woo Cho
ELO 1517
FormWLLLW
51%
49%
Fair odds · Adinata
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 61% · 1.65· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Game score (games)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~85 pts
2-0
37%
0-2
34%
1-2
15%
2-1
14%
Elo Gap+2
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.