15 Oct · 10:45 MESZ · 🏸 Czech Open QualMedium · Model Lean
SR
🇦🇪Somi Romdhani
ELO 1535
FormLWL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Stoynov
IS
🇧🇬Iliyan Stoynov
ELO 1551
FormLWWLW
45%
55%
Fair odds · Stoynov
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 39% · 2.55· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Game score (games)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~85 pts
0-2
40%
2-0
31%
1-2
15%
2-1
14%
Elo Gap+16
H2H0-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)