15 Oct · 11:20 MESZ · 🏸 Czech Open QualLow · Slight Edge
MD
🇵🇱Maksymilian Danielak
ELO 1503
FormLLLLW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Danielak
AK
🇬🇧Arun Kumar
ELO 1497
FormLWLWW
52%
48%
Fair odds · Danielak
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 83% · 1.20· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Game score (games)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~85 pts
2-0
38%
0-2
34%
1-2
15%
2-1
14%
Elo Gap+6
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.