15 Oct · 09:00 MESZ · 🏸 Czech Open QualMedium · Model Lean
JK
🏸Jakub Klokan
ELO 1500
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Klokan
DD
🇨🇿Daniel Dvorak
ELO 1484
FormLWLWL
55%
45%
Fair odds · Klokan
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 12% · 8.53· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Game score (games)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~85 pts
2-0
40%
0-2
32%
2-1
15%
1-2
14%
Elo Gap+16
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.