16 Oct · 11:00 MESZ · 🏸 Denmark Open WomenMedium · Model Lean
TM
🇯🇵Tomoka Miyazaki
ELO 1680
FormWWWLW
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Okuhara
NO
🇯🇵Nozomi Okuhara
ELO 1708
FormWWLLW
42%
58%
Fair odds · Okuhara
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 41% · 2.43· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Game score (games)Fav −1.5 42%Total ~85 pts
0-2
42%
2-0
29%
1-2
16%
2-1
13%
Elo Gap+28
H2H1-1
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.