16 Oct · 15:10 MESZ · 🏸 Denmark OpenLow · Slight Edge
YO
🇯🇵Yudai Okimoto
ELO 1709
FormWWLWL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Okimoto
CP
🇫🇷Christo Popov
ELO 1695
FormWWLLW
54%
46%
Fair odds · Okimoto
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 31% · 3.20· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Game score (games)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~85 pts
2-0
39%
0-2
32%
2-1
15%
1-2
14%
Elo Gap+14
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.