17 Oct · 10:35 MESZ · 🏸 Czech OpenMedium · Model Lean
VK
🇩🇰Victor Ording Kauffmann
ELO 1630
FormWWWWW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Kauffmann
AW
🇫🇷Arthur Wakhevitsch
ELO 1612
FormWWWWL
55%
45%
Fair odds · Kauffmann
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 75% · 1.33· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Game score (games)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~85 pts
2-0
40%
0-2
31%
2-1
15%
1-2
14%
Elo Gap+18
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.