17 Oct · 11:10 MESZ · 🏸 Czech OpenLow · Slight Edge
JO
🇫🇮Joakim Oldorff
ELO 1566
FormWWWWL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Oldorff
MJ
🇩🇰Magnus Johannesen
ELO 1551
FormWWLLW
54%
46%
Fair odds · Oldorff
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 31% · 3.20· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Game score (games)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~85 pts
2-0
40%
0-2
32%
2-1
15%
1-2
14%
Elo Gap+15
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.