20 Oct · 03:00 MESZ · 🏸 Indonesia Masters QualLow · Coin Flip
UR
🇹🇭Utchan Ruaysap
ELO 1494
FormL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Ruaysap
YT
🇲🇾Yu Xiao Tan
ELO 1489
FormLLLW
51%
49%
Fair odds · Ruaysap
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 75% · 1.33· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Game score (games)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~85 pts
2-0
38%
0-2
34%
1-2
15%
2-1
14%
Elo Gap+5
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.