20 Oct · 03:00 MESZ · 🏸 Indonesia Masters QualLow · Coin Flip
HW
🇮🇩Henrikho Kho Wibowo
ELO 1499
FormLLWLW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Apiratchataset
PA
🇹🇭Patcharakit Apiratchataset
ELO 1504
FormLWLWL
49%
51%
Fair odds · Apiratchataset
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 66% · 1.51· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Game score (games)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~85 pts
0-2
37%
2-0
34%
2-1
15%
1-2
14%
Elo Gap+5
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.