20 Oct · 03:00 MESZ · 🏸 Indonesia Masters QualHigh · Clear Favorite
YL
🇨🇳Yu Xuan Liu
ELO 1542
FormLWWLW
60%Win chancemodel fair 1.67Liu
MH
🇲🇾Muhammad Haziq
ELO 1505
FormLWW
60%
40%
Fair odds · Liu
Model 60% · 1.67vsMarket 87% · 1.15· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Game score (games)Fav −1.5 46%Total ~85 pts
2-0
46%
0-2
25%
2-1
15%
1-2
14%
Elo Gap+37
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.