20 Oct · 03:00 MESZ · 🏸 Indonesia Masters QualMedium · Model Lean
ZW
🇨🇳Zi Jun Wang
ELO 1598
FormWWWWW
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Takano
HT
🇯🇵Hyuga Takano
ELO 1624
FormLWWWW
43%
57%
Fair odds · Takano
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 23% · 4.27· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Game score (games)Fav −1.5 42%Total ~85 pts
0-2
42%
2-0
30%
1-2
15%
2-1
13%
Elo Gap+26
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.