20 Oct · 03:00 MESZ · 🏸 Indonesia Masters QualMedium · Model Lean
TY
🇹🇭Tanawat Yimjit
ELO 1485
FormLL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Yimjit
KL
🇹🇭Korakrit Laotrakul
ELO 1467
FormLLL
55%
45%
Fair odds · Yimjit
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 34% · 2.96· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Game score (games)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~85 pts
2-0
40%
0-2
31%
2-1
15%
1-2
14%
Elo Gap+18
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.