20 Oct · 03:00 MESZ · 🏸 Indonesia Masters Women QualLow · Slight Edge
AP
🇹🇭Anyapat Phichitpreechasak
ELO 1493
FormL
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Takahashi
AT
🇯🇵Asuka Takahashi
ELO 1502
FormW
47%
53%
Fair odds · Takahashi
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Game score (games)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~85 pts
0-2
38%
2-0
33%
2-1
14%
1-2
14%
Elo Gap+9
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.