20 Oct · 03:00 MESZ · 🏸 Indonesia MastersMedium · Model Lean
JT
🇲🇾Jia Jie Tan
ELO 1473
FormLLLWW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Hendahewa
RH
🇱🇰Rasindu Hendahewa
ELO 1491
FormL
45%
55%
Fair odds · Hendahewa
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 39% · 2.55· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Game score (games)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~85 pts
0-2
40%
2-0
31%
1-2
15%
2-1
14%
Elo Gap+18
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.