20 Oct · 09:40 MESZ · 🏸 Indonesia Masters Women QualMedium · Model Lean
ZL
🇲🇾Zhi Shin Lim
ELO 1589
FormWLWWL
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Lim
LE
🇲🇾Ler Qi Eng
ELO 1563
FormWLWWW
57%
43%
Fair odds · Lim
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Game score (games)Fav −1.5 42%Total ~85 pts
2-0
42%
0-2
30%
2-1
16%
1-2
13%
Elo Gap+26
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.