21 Oct · 03:00 MESZ · 🏸 Indonesia Masters WomenMedium · Model Lean
OW
🏸Oei Winarto
ELO 1504
FormW
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Winarto
TK
🇹🇭Tidapron Kleebyeesun
ELO 1471
FormLLWLL
59%
41%
Fair odds · Winarto
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 25% · 4.00· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Game score (games)Fav −1.5 43%Total ~85 pts
2-0
43%
0-2
28%
2-1
16%
1-2
12%
Elo Gap+33
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.