21 Oct · 07:50 MESZ · 🏸 Indonesia MastersLow · Coin Flip
YW
🇹🇼Yu-Kai Wang
ELO 1544
FormWLLLL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Liu
YL
🇨🇳Yu Xuan Liu
ELO 1549
FormWLWWL
49%
51%
Fair odds · Liu
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Game score (games)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~85 pts
0-2
37%
2-0
34%
2-1
15%
1-2
14%
Elo Gap+5
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.