22 Oct · 03:00 MESZ · 🏸 Indonesia Masters WomenMedium · Model Lean
GP
🇰🇷Ga Eun Park
ELO 1540
FormWLLWL
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Park
PW
🇹🇼Pei Yu Wang
ELO 1517
FormWLLWL
57%
43%
Fair odds · Park
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 49% · 2.06· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Game score (games)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~85 pts
2-0
41%
0-2
30%
2-1
15%
1-2
13%
Elo Gap+23
H2H0-1
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.