22 Oct · 03:00 MESZ · 🏸 Indonesia MastersMedium · Model Lean
RC
🇮🇳Rounak Chouhan
ELO 1592
FormWLLWL
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Chouhan
YC
🇹🇼Yu Cheng Chen
ELO 1565
FormWWWWL
58%
42%
Fair odds · Chouhan
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 77% · 1.31· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Game score (games)Fav −1.5 42%Total ~85 pts
2-0
42%
0-2
30%
2-1
16%
1-2
13%
Elo Gap+27
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.