23 Oct · 12:50 MESZ · 🏸 French OpenMedium · Model Lean
ZH
🇨🇳Zhe An Hu
ELO 1660
FormWWWLL
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Farhan
AF
🇮🇩Alwi Farhan
ELO 1690
FormWWWLL
41%
59%
Fair odds · Farhan
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 75% · 1.33· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Game score (games)Fav −1.5 43%Total ~85 pts
0-2
43%
2-0
29%
1-2
16%
2-1
13%
Elo Gap+30
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.