27 Oct · 08:00 MEZ · 🏸 Hylo Open Women QualLow · Slight Edge
FO
🇩🇰Frederikke Ostergaard
ELO 1523
FormLWWWL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Xu
WX
🇦🇹Wei Xu
ELO 1530
FormLLLLL
48%
52%
Fair odds · Xu
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 23% · 4.27· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Game score (games)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~85 pts
0-2
38%
2-0
34%
2-1
15%
1-2
14%
Elo Gap+7
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.