28 Oct · 08:00 MEZ · 🏸 Hylo Open WomenLow · Slight Edge
PM
🇨🇿Petra Maixnerova
ELO 1568
FormWWWLL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Maixnerova
WZ
🇨🇦Wen Yu Zhang
ELO 1561
FormLWWWW
52%
48%
Fair odds · Maixnerova
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 28% · 3.62· vig 6%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Game score (games)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~85 pts
2-0
38%
0-2
33%
1-2
15%
2-1
14%
Elo Gap+7
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.