28 Oct · 08:00 MEZ · 🏸 Hylo Open WomenLow · Slight Edge
KN
🇧🇬Kaloyana Nalbantova
ELO 1596
FormLLLLW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Chaliha
AC
🇮🇳Ashmita Chaliha
ELO 1604
FormLWWLL
48%
52%
Fair odds · Chaliha
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Game score (games)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~85 pts
0-2
38%
2-0
33%
2-1
15%
1-2
14%
Elo Gap+8
H2H1-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.