27 Oct · 08:00 MEZ · 🏸 Hylo Open QualHigh · Clear Favorite
MK
🇩🇪Matthias Kicklitz
ELO 1487
FormLLLLW
61%Win chancemodel fair 1.64Dwicahyo
AD
🇦🇿Ade Resky Dwicahyo
ELO 1524
FormLLWLW
39%
61%
Fair odds · Dwicahyo
Model 61% · 1.64vsMarket 46% · 2.16· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Game score (games)Fav −1.5 46%Total ~85 pts
0-2
46%
2-0
25%
1-2
15%
2-1
14%
Elo Gap+37
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.