29 Oct · 11:00 MEZ · 🏸 Hungarian Int.Low · Slight Edge
NM
🇨🇭Nicolas A. Mueller
ELO 1476
FormLLLLW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Christensen
JC
🇩🇰Jeppe Bruun Christensen
ELO 1491
FormLWLLL
46%
54%
Fair odds · Christensen
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 63% · 1.60· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Game score (games)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~85 pts
0-2
40%
2-0
32%
1-2
15%
2-1
14%
Elo Gap+15
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.