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29 Oct · 11:00 MEZ · 🏸 Hungarian Int.Low · Slight Edge
MKMarcus Kruse
🇩🇰Marcus Kruse
ELO 1497
FormLWLLW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Kruse
YDYaro Van Delsen
🇧🇪Yaro Van Delsen
ELO 1489
FormLLWLL
52%
48%
Fair odds · Kruse
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 87% · 1.15· vig 7%

Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.

Markets
Game score (games)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~85 pts
2-0
38%
0-2
33%
1-2
15%
2-1
14%
Elo Gap+8
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read

No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.