29 Oct · 11:00 MEZ · 🏸 Hungarian Int. WomenLow · Slight Edge
CW
🇸🇪Cecilia Wang
ELO 1467
FormLLWWW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Neiman
HN
🇮🇱Heli Neiman
ELO 1473
FormLWWWL
48%
52%
Fair odds · Neiman
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 79% · 1.26· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Game score (games)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~85 pts
0-2
38%
2-0
34%
2-1
15%
1-2
14%
Elo Gap+6
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.