28 Oct · 16:05 MEZ · 🏸 Hylo Open WomenLow · Coin Flip
IB
🇮🇳Isharani Baruah
ELO 1526
FormLLLLW
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Wilson
MW
🇩🇪Miranda Wilson
ELO 1527
FormWLWWW
50%
50%
Fair odds · Wilson
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 79% · 1.26· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Game score (games)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~85 pts
0-2
37%
2-0
35%
2-1
15%
1-2
14%
Elo Gap+1
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.