29 Oct · 11:00 MEZ · 🏸 Hungarian Int.Low · Slight Edge
ML
🇩🇰Mikkel Langemark
ELO 1583
FormLWWWL
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Golas
MG
🇵🇱Mateusz Golas
ELO 1592
FormLWWLW
47%
53%
Fair odds · Golas
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 42% · 2.36· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Game score (games)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~85 pts
0-2
38%
2-0
33%
2-1
14%
1-2
14%
Elo Gap+9
H2H1-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.